Confluence database

Database of research on the influencing activities of Russia and China and their confluence in Central Europe

In case you want to submit relevant research that is not yet included in the database, reach out to Veronika Blablová at veronika.blablova@amo.cz.

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Russia

Energy without Russia: Country Report Slovakia

Authors: Veronika Oravcová |

Published by: FES

Date of publication: Jun 2023

This paper describes the reaction of Slovakia to the supply crunch following the Russian invasion in Ukraine.

Russia

Energy without Russia: Country Report Poland

Authors: Magdalena Maj |

Published by: FES

Date of publication: Jun 2023

This paper outlines Poland’s response to the supply shortage that ensued in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Russia

Energy without Russia: Country Report Czech Republic

Authors: Jaroslav Knápek |

Published by: FES

Date of publication: Jun 2023

This paper delves into the Czech Republic’s response to the lack of energy supplies resulting from the Russian invasion in Ukraine.

Russia

Energy without Russia: Country Report Hungary

Authors: Dóra Csernus |

Published by: FES

Date of publication: Jun 2023

This paper discusses how Hungary reacted to the supply disruptions caused by the Russian invasion in Ukraine.

China

China’s Twiplomacy in Europe in the Shadow of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Authors: Veronika Blablová |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: Jun 2023

This study maps the narratives that China’s embassy accounts spread in Europe in the context of the war in Ukraine, with special attention devoted to the Chinese embassies in V4 countries. It focuses on the evolution of China’s Twitter presence in Europe, patterns of content posting, engagement, the level of interaction with the local actors and the discourses disseminated on the issue of the Russian invasion.

China

CCPIT in Poland: Economic Cooperation in the Hands of a Party-State Actor

Authors: Łukasz Sarek |

Published by: Sinopsis

Date of publication: May 2023

This paper primarily focuses on the activities of the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade (CCPIT) in Poland and its impact on the country’s economic relations with China.

Russia

Russia’s Influence Operations in the Czech Republic, Poland, and Romania

Authors: Michaela Dodge |

Published by: NIPP

Date of publication: Apr 2023

This paper advances understanding of the mechanics of Russia’s influence and disinformation operations and how these types of activities can affect U.S. allies and alliance politics.

China

Getting Ahead of the Curve: Chinese Influence in Central and Eastern Europe

Authors: Edward Lucas, James Lamond |

Published by: CEPA

Date of publication: Sep 2022

This policy brief examines China’s tools and tactics used to exert influence across five key areas: information operations, economy, culture, diplomacy, and local and regional administration.

China

How to Do Trusted Research: China-Specific Guidelines for European Stakeholders

Authors: Filip Šebok, Ivana Karásková, Veronika Blablová |

Published by: AMO

Date of publication: Sep 2022

This study examines the state of knowledge protection in the EU and China’s approach to STI and its goals in Europe. It specifically focuses on the scope of cooperation in STEM areas with China in three EU member states (Austria, Czech Republic and Slovakia), utilizing open-source data on scientific cooperation.

China

Protecting the Czech Economy from Foreign Predators and Malign Influence

Authors: František Marčík, Jakub Janda, Jan Famfollet, Richard Kraemer |

Published by: European Values

Date of publication: Aug 2022

This paper identifies China’s key objectives and tools of economic influence, and formulates a comprehensive set of potential countermeasures that can and should be adopted by the Czech Republic or be advocated for by the Czech Republic in the EU.

China

China’s Influence in Europe: Strategies Towards a Resilient and United EU

Authors: Anna Marti, Benjamin Herscovitch, Dániel Mikecz, Filip Šebok, Ivana Karásková, Jan Weidenfeld, Ketty W. Chen, Plamen Tonchev, Renaldas Vaisbrodas, Sascha Tamm |

Published by: FNF

Date of publication: Aug 2022

This policy paper focuses on the means that China uses to weaken the ability of individual states, including Hungary and the Czech Republic, and thus the EU as a whole to act. It evaluates various strategies used in dealing with economic or political coercion exerted by China.

China

A Lucrative Relationship: Clientelist Corruption Underpins Orbán’s China Policy

Authors: Edit Zgut-Przybylska |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: Jun 2022

This paper analyzes the link between the clientelistic hybrid regime built by Viktor Orbán’s Hungary and Budapest’s burgeoning ties with China.

Russia

From Anti-Vaccination to Kremlin’s Proxy: Hidden Malign Domestic and Foreign ‘Grey Zone’ Media Influence in the Czech Republic

Authors: Kristína Šefčíková |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: May 2022

This paper focuses on domestic and foreign hidden malign influence activities pursued through the so-called ‘grey zone’, targeting the Czech Republic during a period of heightened international tensions related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. It examines the inner workings of disinformation campaigns carried out by mostly anonymous media actors to conduct or influence political campaigns, specifically in the run-up to the elections, and destabilise the region in general after the outbreak of the war.

Russia

Agents of Influence: Hidden Malign Domestic and Foreign ‘Grey Zone’ Media Influence in Hungary

Authors: Ákos Keller-Alánt, Csaba Molnár, Lóránt Győri |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: May 2022

This paper focuses on domestic and foreign hidden malign influence activities pursued through the so-called ‘grey zone’, targeting Hungary during a period of heightened international tensions related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. It examines the inner workings of disinformation campaigns carried out by mostly anonymous media actors to conduct or influence political campaigns, specifically in the run-up to the elections, and destabilise the region in general after the outbreak of the war.

China

From East with Love: Dissecting Pro-China Bias in Czech and Slovak Alternative Media

Authors: Barbara Kelemen, Ivana Karásková, Matej Šimalčík, Michaela Ružičková, Pavel Havlíček, Peter Dubóczi, Veronika Blablová |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: Apr 2022

Analysis of China-related narratives on five specific topics (5G, Chinese investment, Hong Kong protests, Xinjiang, and Taiwan) in the ‘alternative media’ known for pro-Russian stance in the Czech Republic and Slovakia.

Russia

The New Czech Government in Pro-Kremlin Media: A Case Study of Sputnik CZ

Authors: Kristína Šefčíková |

Published by: PSSI

Date of publication: Feb 2022

This analysis monitors the pro-Kremlin media website Sputnik CZ in autumn 2021 to map how it reflected the formation of the new Czech government.

China
Russia

How Moscow and Beijing Weave Tales for Warsaw: The Cases of Sputnik and China Radio International

Authors: Alicja Bachulska |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: Feb 2022

The overview of Russia and China’s activities in the Polish information space and a detailed content analysis of the dataset comprising of China-related commentaries published by Sputnik Poland and CRI Poland in 2020 and 2021.

China
Russia

Tough Trade: The Hidden Costs of Economic Coercion

Authors: Filip Medunic, Jonathan Hackenbroich, Pawel Zerka |

Published by: ECFR

Date of publication: Feb 2022

This paper analyzes China’s and Russia’s economic coercion against European countries, including Poland and the Czech Republic. The paper reflects on the EU’s proposed Anti-Coercion Instrument.

China

Under the Radar: Mapping the Czech and Slovak ‎Local ‎Governments’ Ties to ‎China

Authors: Adam Kalivoda, Filip Šebok, Matej Šimalčík, Veronika Blablová |

Published by: CEIAS

Date of publication: Dec 2021

This policy paper examines paradiplomatic relations of Slovak and Czech municipal and ‎regional administrations with their Chinese counterparts.

China
Russia

Disinformation Resilience Index in Central and Eastern Europe in 2021

Authors: Alam Albanna, Aliaksandr Aleshka, Aliaksandr Papko, Andrei Yeliseyeu, Armen Grigoryan, Dominik Istrate, Lasha Tughushi, Matúš Jevčák, Narmina Gasimova, Olga Yurkova, Pavel Havlíček, Peter Dubóczi, Veranika Laputska |

Published by: EAST Center

Date of publication: Sep 2021

Ths publication provides a comprehensive overview of how disinformation manifests itself in individual countries, and how states and societies across the region have responded, or failed to respond, to this challenge.

Russia

Vrbětice: Case Study of Czech Resilience Against Hostile Propaganda

Authors: Jonáš Syrovátka, Michaela Dvořáková |

Published by: PSSI

Date of publication: Jul 2021

This analysis discusses the spread of hostile propaganda within the Czech media space related to the revelation of Russian GRU involvement in the Vrbětice ammunition depot explosions in 2014, while also examining the Czech response and resilience to hostile propaganda.

China

Oligarchs and Party Folks: Chinese Corrosive Capital in Slovakia and Czechia

Authors: Matej Šimalčík |

Published by: CEIAS

Date of publication: Jul 2021

This paper focuses on various activities by Chinese as well as local Slovak and Czech actors linked to the influx of Chinese corrosive capital.

China

Covert Propaganda Operations in Plain Sight: The CCP United Front System’s Media Network in Europe

Authors: Filip Jirouš, Petra Ševčíková |

Published by: Sinopsis

Date of publication: Jul 2021

This policy brief examines European operations of the China News Service (CNS), the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) united front system’s main propaganda agency, and its extensive network of media outlets in Europe and the challenges that its activities pose to European institutions.

China

Careful or Careless? Debating Chinese Investment and 5G Technology in Central Europe

Authors: Alicja Bachulska, Ivana Karásková, Matej Šimalčík, Tamás Matura |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: May 2021

Comparative study focused on media coverage of Chinese investment and Chinese involvement in 5G infrastructure in the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia.

Russia

Czech-Russian Crisis: High Time to Leave Moscow’s International Investment Bank

Authors: Simone Neads, Zack Kramer, Zuzana Krulichová |

Published by: PSSI

Date of publication: May 2021

This brief examines the Czech Republic’s membership in the Russia-led International Investment Bank (IIB), a tool of malign Russian influence.

Russia

Hungary’s Subway Trains: A Case Study of Russian Active Measures against Municipalities

Authors: Patrik Szicherle |

Published by: European Values

Date of publication: May 2021

This report analyzes cases of Russian active measures against municipalities in Hungary. The Hungarian government seeks good relations with authoritarian regimes by pushing for their interests in the West, mainly to have its hybrid regime legitimized or even financed by these actors.

Russia

Hungary: The Case of Paks 2 and the Kremlin’s Influence-seeking Efforts Through Nuclear Energy

Authors: Dominik Istrate |

Published by: European Values

Date of publication: Mar 2021

This report analyzes the case of Paks 2 and the Kremlin’s influence-seeking efforts through nuclear energy. In 2014, Hungary entered into a nuclear energy deal with the Kremlin that will not only reshape Hungary’s economic and energy policies for decades to come, but serves as a quasi-justification for continuously maintaining political ties at the highest level – even at the expense of Budapest’s Euro-Atlantic orientation.

China

Huawei in Central and Eastern Europe: Trends and Forecast

Authors: Alicja Bachulska, Andreea Leonte, Ivana Karásková, Konstantinas Andrijauskas, Matej Šimalčík, Tamás Matura, Una Aleksandra Bērziņa-Čerenkova |

Published by: CHOICE

Date of publication: Jan 2021

Study summarizing debates on Huawei’s involvement in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Eastern European countries, including addressing security issues, active US diplomacy and intra-EU discussions.

China

China’s Inroads into Slovak Universities

Authors: Adam Kalivoda, Matej Šimalčík |

Published by: CEIAS

Date of publication: Dec 2020

This study maps academic interactions between Slovak academic institutions (public universities and research institutes of the Slovak Academy of Science) with Chinese entities.

China

China’s Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns in Central Europe

Authors: Alicja Bachulska, Filip Šebok, Ivana Karásková, Matej Šimalčík, Tamás Matura |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: Aug 2020

Policy paper revealing the evolving nature of Chinese propaganda, both overt and covert, in Central Europe, including the ‘damage control’ operations in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic and adaptations made by Chinese officials and surrogates on social media platforms like Twitter and Facebook.

China

Exploring China’s Diplomatic Offensive in Central and Eastern Europe Amidst its ‘Mask Diplomacy’

Authors: Aarshi Tirke, Alicia García Herrero, Alicja Bachulska, Chen Xi, Dhruva Jaishankar, Elina Ribakova, Harsh V. Pant, Jayant Sinha, K. Yhome, Manoj Joshi, Samir Saran, Seema Sirohi, Shashidhar K.J., Trisha Ray |

Published by: ORF

Date of publication: Aug 2020

This paper examines the impact that Chinese overtures under the ‘mask diplomacy’ umbrella have had on Central Europe, and Europe more broadly, as the regime seeks to retain a foothold and restore its image in the region.

China

One China under Media Heaven: How Beijing Hones its Skills in Information Operations

Authors: Ivana Karásková |

Published by: Hybrid CoE

Date of publication: Jul 2020

This Strategic Analysis examines how China’s information operations in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have evolved. Specifically, it explores the introduction of new tools and techniques to enhance its influence portfolio and identifies the shift towards new targets.

China

China’s Sticks and Carrots in Central Europe: The Logic and Power of Chinese Influence

Authors: Alicja Bachulska, Barbara Kelemen, Filip Šebok, Ivana Karásková, Matej Šimalčík, Tamás Matura |

Published by: MapInfluenCE

Date of publication: Jun 2020

This comparative study reveals how China has been using a targeted mix of ‘carrots’ and ‘sticks’ to increase its influence in Central European countries.

China

Empty Shell No More: China’s Growing Footprint in Central and Eastern Europe

Authors: Ágnes Szunomár, Alicja Bachulska, Andreea Leonte, Filip Šebok, Ivana Karásková, Konstantinas Andrijauskas, Liisi Karindi, Nina Pejič, Stefan Vladisavljev, Una Aleksandra Bērziņa-Čerenkova |

Published by: CHOICE

Date of publication: Apr 2020

This paper uncovers China’s activities in political, economic and societal domains in the countries gathered in China-led 17+1 platform.

China

5G and the Internet of Things: Chinese Companies’ Inroads into ‘Digital Poland’

Authors: Łukasz Sarek |

Published by: Sinopsis

Date of publication: Jan 2020

This policy brief focuses on two key suppliers of IoT equipment, Dahua and Hikvision, and their strong presence in the Polish market.

China
Russia

Handbook on Countering Russian and Chinese Interference in Europe

Authors: Jakub Janda, Joey Gurney, Martin Svárovský, Sami Kröger, Veronika Víchová |

Published by: European Values

Date of publication: Dec 2019

This report examines Russian and Chinese influence in Central Europe, focusing on China’s and Russia’s short and long-term goals for the countries, including economic, political and social tools & tactics.

China

Lost in Translation: ‘Economic Diplomacy’ with Chinese Characteristics

Authors: Jichang Lulu, Martin Hála |

Published by: Sinopsis

Date of publication: Mar 2019

This policy brief focuses on China’s ‘economic diplomacy’, which, despite often having little economic effect, providives rhetorical cover for the extensive capture of local political elites through business contacts and targeted corruption.

China
Russia

Sharp Power: Rising Authoritarian Influence

Authors: Gabriela Pleschová, Grigorij Mesežnikov, Jacek Kucharczyk |

Published by: NED

Date of publication: Dec 2017

This report examines Chinese and Russian influence in four young democracies in Latin America and Central Europe, including Slovakia and Poland.

Russia

Hatred, Violence and Comprehensive Military Training – The Violent Radicalisation and Kremlin Connections of Slovak Paramilitary, Extremist and Neo-Nazi Groups

Authors: Grigorij Mesežnikov, Radovan Bránik |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: Apr 2017

This paper examines the links between various pro-Kremlin entities and Slovakia’s political scene as a whole, with a particular focus on the extreme-right movements.

Russia

Russian Soft Power in Poland – The Kremlin and Pro-Russian Organizations

Authors: Łukasz Wenerski, Michal Kacewicz |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: Apr 2017

This paper delves into the links between diverse pro-Kremlin actors and Poland’s political entities, with a specific emphasis on the extreme-right factions.

Russia

‘The Truth Today Is What Putin Says It Is’ – The Activity of Pro-Russian Extremist Groups in Hungary

Authors: András Dezső, Attila Juhász, Edit Zgut-Przybylska, Lóránt Győri |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: Apr 2017

This paper explores the connections between a wide range of pro-Kremlin stakeholders and Hungary’s political entities in general and the violent, fringe extreme-right movements in particular.

Russia

The Russian Connections of Far-Right and Paramilitary Organizations in the Czech Republic

Authors: Jakub Janda, Petra Vejvodová, Veronika Víchová |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: Apr 2017

This paper delves into the relationships between a diverse array of pro-Kremlin stakeholders and the political entities in the Czech Republic, with a specific focus on the extreme-right movements with violent tendecies.

Russia

From Russia with Hate: The Activity of Pro-Russian Extremist Groups in Central-Eastern Europe

Authors: András Dezső, Attila Juhász, Bernhard Weidinger, Daniel Milo, Edit Zgut-Przybylska, Fabian Schmid, Grigorij Mesežnikov, Jakub Janda, Lóránt Győri, Łukasz Wenerski, Michal Kacewicz, Péter Krekó, Petra Vejvodová, Radovan Bránik, Szabolcs Panyi, Veronika Víchová |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: Apr 2017

This paper explores the connections between a wide range of pro-Kremlin stakeholders and Central-Eastern European countries’ political entities in general, and the violent, fringe extreme-right movements in particular.

Russia

The Weaponization of Culture: Kremlin’s Traditional Agenda and the Export of Values to Central Europe

Authors: Anton Shekhovtsov, Grigorij Mesežnikov, Jakub Janda, Jekatyerina Dunajeva, Juraj Mesík, Lóránt Győri, Maciej Szylar, Ondřej Kundra, Péter Krekó |

Published by: Political Capital

Date of publication: Aug 2016

This study explores Russian soft power in Hungary, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Poland and Austria with a special focus on Kremlin’s aim to monopolize, manipulate and disseminate ‘traditional’ societal and Christian values used to ideologically underpin the system.

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